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kristopher

Quarterly Compass – January 2023

kristopher · Feb 1, 2023 ·

Welcome to the New Year and the January quarter!

Lauren and I hope you have had an excellent festive break and you are taking full advantage of all of this hot weather.

We have some exciting things that we are working on this year at Wealtheon which I am really excited to be developing. We are creating some new concepts that we will be rolling out in the new financial year so stay tuned for some announcements on that.

Let’s get cracking into the Quarterly update and as always, if you have any questions or need any help, please reach out.

Market Update:

The last three months have been a rollercoaster in investment markets which is indicative of how things were over the last year. I was watching markets dip just before (and over) Christmas and then rally just after the new year. In Australian markets ( which has been one of the most resilient over the last 12 months) We saw drops and increases of more than 5% four times. After suffering the worst year since the GFC, there are a lot of markets that have not faired as well as the ASX or DJIA.

Even a lot of season pros have had the jitters in 2022 as it is being nearly 200 years (the early 1800’s just after the American and French revolutions) Since U.S. stocks and bonds fell by more than 10% at the same time.

We are expecting more of the same roller coaster in 2023 as everyone from individual investors or national economies try to manage the unexpected inflation (and if there is anything that markets hate, it’s uncertainty) but with we think that markets will settle down this year and resume some good growth and strong dividends.

So what do we expect to see?

Australian Outlook:

It feels like a reset of 2022 in Australia which whilst still feeling the after effects of the pandemic has bounced back relatively well. In 2020 and 2021 we were supported by a lot of government spending and low interest rates but all of that has lead to a situation where the chance of a recession is likely.

Australia faces a housing dilemma which is fast becoming a crisis as people struggle to find rentals at homes or funding new builds. this is happening at the same time as the increase in interest rates have brought values screaming back to where they were a few years ago.

As far as advanced economies go Australia should be able to weather the storm relatively well because of our strong commodity exports the opening up of China and improving relations with the second biggest economy in the world as well as the strong labour market.

I think our biggest strength is the fact that our labour market is so tight whilst we have such low unemployment it’s quite difficult to really feel the effects of a recession for the average person.

if we look at prior evidence we may expect a rate cut if there is a recession it is my belief that inflation spiking and the run of interest rates to its current levels has been part of a strategic decision to be able to soften a fall if there is a recession by reducing rates again. prior evidence is showing that interest rates have dropped during recessions except where inflation and cost of living has been greater than a 10% annual basis

International Outlook:

The correction in international markets have led to some better valuations but we still saying quite a lot of meat in the bone within the technology sector in the US market global stocks ah likely going to perform on par with bonds over the next 12 months in most developed nations as many developed international shares are fairly valued or still in some instances overvalued. international small cap investments got hit some of the hardest last year and his my belief that they will be some of the biggest winners over the next few years as they are able to take advantage of a nimble market.

Rates on bonds have grown past dividend you rates which is great for the average retiree investor it does mean that companies will have less opportunities to borrow money and leverage for growth as credit becomes harder to service the value stack on mergers acquisitions and development costs will crunch businesses that don’t have extremely good growth prospects.

What’s going to happen?

I’m expecting people to find the new normal in 2023 and there are some massive advantages that will likely lead to some decent investment returns. bonds for the first time in about four years I looking more attractive as we have to get more money from the yield. we are also in the era of incredible technological advances it is my belief that technology will provide a lot of relief To modern problems in an increasingly globalised world.

I’m personally hoping that a recession will call for some removal of red tape struggling industries like agriculture and construction But I’m not gonna hold my breath waiting for that to happen.

What does all of this mean for you?

all markets rise and fall and this last 12 months has been a great example of that. now moving ever diversified approach to investing and markets in general he’s going to hold the most amount of value over the next five years. this also means that there will likely be some opportunities as we review your situation over the year in order to take advantage of particular stocks and companies that of riding the roller coaster I will provide some incredible discounts that we can take full advantage of.

What should you do about it?

In an inflationary environment like what we have one of the best things you can do is demand high wages and take advantage of the labour market right now. now is also an imperative time to be investing money and not having it sit around in a cash account. the reason for that is that whilst growth prospects may be uncertain with inflation at 7% there is a guaranteed loss on money just sitting in a bank doing nothing.

 

As always, if you have any questions or would like to discuss any of the above or your portfolio further, please reach out to us on 1800 577 336, or via email at hello@wealtheon.com.au. Speak soon!

Quarterly Compass – What’s happening in global markets and what it means for you.

kristopher · Oct 7, 2022 ·

Welcome to the quarterly update email for September.

2022 has been a crazy year so far. In the last three months of this year it’s important to reflect on some of the things that have happened and where things are heading. Most the world is still reeling from the effects of a global pandemic which has changed the way that we interact with each other and how we work. There is a war in Ukraine which escalated in February and this has caused massive energy insecurity and inflation largely due to Russian sanctions.

Whilst there is a lot of doom, gloom and uncertainty with things out of our control, it’s important to note that nothing is ever as good or as bad as it seems. Whilst we cannot predict what will happen or stop it from getting worse, we are in full control of the actions we take to prepare for, ride out, and recover from the storm.

It’s very important to remember that whilst the short-term outlook may be bleak, the markets can rally at any time and start to pick up. It could be tomorrow, next week, or a year from now, but if we pull our money out now driven by fear, we may lose much more than if we had stayed the course. Any decision make regarding the investment markets needs to be considered and logical, rather than reactive and born from emotion. Without knowing when the upturn will be (and there always is an upturn!), we cannot make a considered decision to pull out.

With that being said, here’s our breakdown of what is happening in the markets, what it means for you, and what you should be doing about it.

Market Update:
Nearly all global equity markets across the world were sold down in the first half of 2022 as investors and markets have been worried about central banks lifting interest rates to fight what seems to be a crazy amount of inflation. This coincided with the invasion of Ukraine and the Russian military action. As a result, in the first six months the NASDAQ dropped over 30% and the S&P 500 was down over 20%. More emerging markets also took a battering as cost of goods continue to rise globally.

In an attempt to reduce this inflation reserve banks across most of the developed world have lifted rates faster than most people ever expected. This has meant that there’s been no safe haven in the global bond market which normally is a place of security when investment markets are falling.

The concern for markets has been one where the prediction is that high rates would tip and force economies into recession and that there would be limited or negative growth. Many economists have had fears that current market conditions would end up with ‘stagflation’ (no growth with high inflation) and similar results to the economies of the 1970s and 1980s.

There was a small rebound in June with the prediction that slowing US economy will result in a slowdown in the US Federal Reserves rising rates. With continued high inflation, this hasn’t been the US Federal Reserve’s stance and after the rate rise in September, we’ve seen markets fall back to similar levels that they were at in June.

 

Australian Outlook:
Australian markets saw some resilience in the first half of the year but have since joined global markets, seeing a  reduction of around 15%.  There doesn’t seem to be a safe haven in Australian markets either, as interest rates have risen and we’ve seen property prices start to drop across nearly all capital cities (down around 5.5% nationally from last year’s highs). With inflation sitting at 6% and cash term deposit rates at around 3%, the buying power of money even sitting in cash is dropping substantially. The Australian stock market is at 6400 points which is similar levels to where it was just before the global financial crisis.

With the weakening Australian dollar against the US, we may be in for some more inflationary pressures on imported goods which can mean some more pain at the shops and the fuel pump.

What’s going to happen?
We don’t have a crystal ball, but we can look to history to give us some guidance and what may come in the short term. We’re likely going to see a continued rising of interest rates to bring inflation under control which may cause a recession, however unemployment remains very low which is inconsistent with a recession.

What does all of this mean for you?
In simple terms what all of this means is that the cost of living is going up, how much you’re going to have to pay back to the bank in the form of your interest rates will continue to rise, and this is going to mean that asset prices are going to continue to fall in the short term.

What should you do about it?
In terms of the rising cost of living which includes mortgage rates, now is the right time to reflect where your money is going, what your interest rates are and how much you can save. In times like this your cash flow is extremely important and if you feel as though things are getting too tight, please reach out as there may be a number of things that you can do in order to safeguard your financial position.

In terms of investing, we always expect markets to drop and for times to get tough. What you should do in periods of time like this is to be patient with your investments, hold on to them as best you can and if possible, look for opportunities to take advantage of low asset prices.

Next Steps
In order to share as much information as I can, we have organised an exclusive webinar for you which will run through a deep dive into what’s happening in the markets and what it means for you and your portfolios. I’ll be joined by Vanguard’s Investment Specialist Libby Newman to provide some valuable insight on the current economy and it’s effects. You can register for the webinar here.

Profit First: The Simple System That’s Changing Entrepreneurs’ Lives

kristopher · Mar 16, 2022 ·

Profit First. Reduce Risk. Build Wealth. Create Discipline.

Every single entrepreneur has one big dream: to be successful. This is not just about becoming rich, but also about living a life that’s free from financial worries. The problem for many entrepreneurs is they don’t know how to start this process of wealth-building. Is there something simple and easy they can do? Yes! Profit first will change your business and your life forever.

From start ups to established businesses, a profit first mindset will create lasting and real wealth. The concept is simple and the execution easy.

Here’s how it works:

  • Every time you generate revenue in your business, set aside your profit into a separate bank account. This could be as little as $1 when you start, the key here isn’t the amount, it’s the mindset. You can start small but the aim will be to bring it up to at least 10% of revenue.
  • Once you have $500 or more in this account, invest it.

Not back into the business, but into solid investments that will create passive income.

This could be real estate, dividend-paying stocks, ETFs or any other asset that growth. The key is to invest it and let it grow so you can live off the profits in the future.

This may seem like a difficult task in the beginning, especially when your business is just starting out. But if you make profit first a habit then it will become second nature and you’ll see your wealth skyrocket!

If you’re not yet convinced of the power of profit first, here are three reasons why you should adopt this system:

1) It builds wealth – When you invest your profits instead of reinvesting them back into the company, they start to grow exponentially

2) It reduces risk – You never know what is around the corner and in business that is especially true. Pulling money out can make it a lot safer.

3) It creates discipline – Making profit a priority in your business will create discipline and focus. This is something that is often lacking in small businesses.

It really is as simple as that! When you make profit a priority, everything else falls into place. You’ll be able to focus on what’s important and create sustainable wealth for yourself and your family. Isn’t that what we all want? So start today – put you and profit first!

When you make profit a priority, everything else falls into place. Remember: Profit First. Reduce Risk. Build Wealth. Create Discipline.

You might also like this: Is your inner entrepreneur calling?

Head over to our Instagram for more tips and tricks HERE.

Wealtheon’s Exclusive Interview with Craig Nenke, founder of Nenke Consulting

kristopher · May 13, 2021 ·

We’re excited to have you join us for Wealtheon’s Interview with Craig Nenke. Our principal adviser, Kristopher Meuwissen recently sat down with business consultant and founder of Nenke Consulting, Craig Nenke, to have a chat about his impact on the business world, how he helps his clients smash their business goals, and what business life was like during Covid19.

Nenke Consulting are Australia’s leading Business Navigators, helping you take control of change within your business and harness it for growth. Craig and the team of skilled mentors can assist with navigating your business through and strengthen it for the future. They can support your business with smooth transitions and ongoing support through change. If you’d like to know more about Nenke Consulting or get in touch with Craig, let us know and you can find his contact details at the end of this post.

Business to Business Interview with Craig Nenke, founder of Nenke Consulting

Kris: So, tell me a little bit about you, tell me about your business, and family life and that sort of thing.

Craig: I’m married with two kids, one just turned 18, she’s doing VCE so it’s a big year ahead. My youngest boy, he’s 15, and he’s sports mad. He loves his tennis and his cricket, his footy, and he’s pretty busy with all of that. My wife’s a dressmaker, she works very hard in the fashion field. She’s very well known and works really well in that sphere.

Business wise, I’ve been running my own business only for three years or so. Prior to that, I was a consultant and manager in corporate fields, you know, mainly with an IT background. I’ve worked a lot in places like BHP, Shell, I did a bit of work with the banks and Telstra, so you know, a lot of the large corporates, and then decided three or four years ago to start my own business.

Kris: Yeah, brilliant. Now we’ve spoken before Craig, but tell me a little bit about the kind of people that you help at the moment, the kind of guys that you can get in and really make some positive changes for.

Craig: Well, I’ve focused more on small to medium business since starting out on my own. One of my main clients is a food, meat and dairy importer and exporter, and they have 20 to 30 staff. They’ve grown a lot through COVID, which many haven’t, and they have a number of business issues. One of them is with their ERP, and so I helped them implement their ERP. So I work as a project manager and a general consultant to their company, and help them in how to go about implementing it, what the sort of typical issues are with change management, so training, staff issues, what impact that would have on people, as well as the technology side of it, and making sure the system works and is tested. So that’s an example of how I’ve helped that organization, and that’s led to other work in terms of measuring staff performance, and I’m currently doing a systems review for them.

Other businesses I have helped more in the CRM space, so with their sales process. I’m currently working with a signage company, they do complex signs for industry, and they had a lot of issues with following up their leads and following up their contacts. They’re doing well, but they know they don’t follow up their clients as well as they should, so we’re going through a process of fixing that with a CRM and fixing other related issues with proposals and things like that.

Kris: And obviously, during COVID, business has been up and down, what have you found has been the biggest challenge coming out of COVID? For not just your business, but as a business consultant for other businesses?

Craig: Yeah, well there was a lot of fatigue associated with COVID I found and I know others did as well once the lockdown ended in around November. I think because everyone was just sort of over it and didn’t want to do new things, and everyone just wanted a break. And so that November to sort of February period, I’ve found a lot of businesses are just really fatigued, and I think that it’ll take a little while for that to pick up. I’ve noticed recently there’s a bit of change, there’s a bit of momentum going on, and some new things happening. So I think it’s hopefully going to continue more and more throughout the year, but I still think there’s a fair bit of lag there in terms of people picking up new projects, new things and wanting to make changes.

Kris: Yeah! I know, personally, I’m definitely feeling some of that fatigue, and it’s not just from a point of view of being busy and that sort of stuff, it’s also just been a slog, it’s been an absolute slog, and having to come up with new things and new ways of doing things, and finding new clients and that sort of stuff. It’s definitely been a bit of process that’s for sure.

What do you think is the biggest opportunity coming into 2021? You know, we’re in the second quarter of 2021, what do you say are the biggest opportunities for us?

Craig: I think the biggest opportunity is really with teamwork. I think people have realized the importance of people in their business, and looking after people, and there’s been a lot of talk about things like mental health and so on. The main issue is sort of mental health and the stress of how to deal with change, and how to deal with lots of Zoom meetings, lots of working from home etc. And the opportunity then is, well, how am I going to motivate my staff, how am I going to keep my staff? And how am I going to, I guess, congratulate them for making it through, but what are the new techniques? And what are the new things that we can do to make ourselves a thriving business through our people? To me, I think managers and leaders of organizations have learned that lesson, and I hope we’re continuing to learn that lesson and a need to continually find ways to their staff and build strong teams.

Kris: It’s really interesting as someone who is has a tilt and a focus towards technology background that you see the opportunities being people and the team that you’re building around you. It’s a really interesting thing, because a lot of people that I’ve spoken to in a similar sort of vein say you know, ‘technology, technology, technology’, you know, that it’s this all-encompassing way of the future. And I’m a big believer in technology being able to support your teams, but I have to say that I agree with you, I think people and the way that they actually come in and support business is probably going to be a massive opportunity, and working out how you can actually work with those people, and work with people that you previously didn’t have access to. It’s a Melbourne business being able to have access to an incredible person in Perth, or Karratha, or North Queensland, and you don’t have to have that same barrier to entry – you don’t have to have them come into the office and that sort of thing, and I think that’s a really good point.

Craig: Yeah, I think the power that you and I are here using technology to have a good discussion, which maybe previously we wouldn’t have thought of that, so there’s great benefits to it. But you need to have your limits, and you need to have your strategies around using technology in the best way, and that’s I think, the big opportunity this year in 2021.

Kris: Completely agree. And so from a financial point of view, have you ever seen a financial advisor in the past, and is it something that’s really had a lot of focus in your business?

Craig: Yeah I have, but I wouldn’t say I’ve had a big focus on it. With my clients I spend a lot of time talking about budgeting and finance, and not that I’m a financial expert, but obviously knowing your numbers, what your profitability is, and all that is very important. With my own finances I don’t always follow my own advice, so I guess I’m a bit mediocre when it comes to my own finances, but as far as financial advisors go, I haven’t really had a big focus on it throughout my career. I have worked with a firm that does insurance and financial advice, but I haven’t really used that to a great deal over the years.

Kris: And we’ll maybe touch on that a little bit later, because I think that most people are in exactly the same boat. I think most people haven’t actually spoken to an advisor. What has been the best thing that you’ve done from a financial perspective? What’s the best strategy that you’ve implemented, or what you’ve seen as the best success in your life from a financial strategic point of view?

Craig: I think it’s getting in a mode of knowing what your costs are, and to me, living within your means. Because you and I both know if you’re running a business, some years you have good years, and you think that’s going to go on forever, and of course then something hits, and it doesn’t. So you’ve got to have a view of your costs, and how you can safeguard against risks so that if you do have a couple of months or six months of practically no revenue, how can you survive? And so to me, finances is really about keeping within your limits and understanding what you can spend and when, and knowing your risks and the risk profile.

Kris: Yeah, totally, totally, totally agree. And one of the things that I see from working with a lot of people is that cash flow is king in a business, and you can be the most profitable business in the world, but if you can’t make it between now and when you get paid, it’s going to be really hard, because it’s just all accounts receivable, and that’s money that’s coming later. If you can’t actually get through to the point where you can get a hold of that money, then you’re up against the wall.

Following on from that, the biggest indicator of financial success that I’ve seen time and time again, is people’s ability to save money with every single time that they get paid. So if you can manage your expenses, manage your budgeting, so that way every time you’re getting paid you’re putting something away, or you have the ability to pay off more on your mortgage or put more towards investments or whatever it might be, your options just explode.

What would you say is the biggest lesson that you’ve learned in regards to your finances? So the mistake that hurt the most but also taught you this lesson?

Craig: That’s a tough question, Kris. But I think the biggest lesson to me is making sure you know what you’re purchasing. So if you’re purchasing an investment or a house, that you know if there’s room for growth there. I think we can get emotionally carried away with buying something new, whether it’s an investment property, or a new house or a share portfolio, whatever, that we think we’ve just got to do it and we’ve got to do it quickly. To me, it’s all about, ‘is that the right move?’ And is it going to be something that you can work with over the longer term, and not worry about every short-term spike. People have said to me over the years, you simply must buy these shares, or you must buy an investment property, or you must do this, you must do that, otherwise, you’re going to get too old. And I’ve I guess been bit conservative in that sphere, not been carried away with just doing something because you ‘should’ do it all because others have done it, you’ve got to do what’s right for you. And if that means, as you say, just paying down your mortgage quicker, or putting more into super, or a conservative investment, then you’ve got to do what’s right for you. I guess that’s the biggest lesson I’ve learnt over the years.

Kris: Yeah, perfect. It’s something that a lot of people wait a really long time to work out. I think that you’re absolutely spot on, it’s something that I see time and time again. I was speaking to a couple of clients the other day about it, and they’re talking to me about wanting to invest, and to buy an investment property. But then when we’re actually talking about what’s really important to them, and how they see risk, they’re all about not over-stretching and not going into debt. It’s all about doing the right thing for you, and knowing there’s more to it than just chasing a return.

 

You can get in touch with Craig and Nenke Consulting on 0438 524 506 or by visiting https://www.nenkeconsulting.com/contact-us/.

How To Save For Your Kids Education

kristopher · Jan 25, 2021 ·

The costs of raising children from birth until adulthood are frequently reported by media and vary widely depending on whether you want your children to go to public or private schools and whether they plan to go to university or college. We’ve put together a few ideas on how to save for your kids education.

For example, if you send two children to a private high school which costs an average of $20,000 a year for each child, by the time they both graduate you will have spent $240,000 on school fees. And that’s not counting extras such as school uniforms, trips and sporting clinics.

Public schools are much cheaper but there are still extra tuition fees, textbooks, uniforms and school camps to pay for.

The cost of going to university or college can also vary. If your child is eligible for HECS-HELP (a government loan available to tertiary students) they can choose to defer payment of university fees. Even if they don’t pay fees upfront, your child will have to pay for books and materials, union and sports fees and transport costs.

The earlier you start saving for your children’s education, the better. Education costs are usually a long-term goal that can take more than 5 years to achieve.

There are four key steps to set up a savings plan for a child:

  1. Set a savings goal – decide what is being saved for (eg education – type of education and at what level, private schooling and/or tertiary education?)
  2. Set a budget – how much needs to be saved to reach the required goal
  3. Choose an investment option – decide which product or where the money should be invested
  4. Who should own the investment – whose name should it be invested in.

To help you reach your goal, you could put your savings into:

  • Direct investments such as shares
  • Managed funds or insurance bonds
  • Term deposits or savings accounts
  • Education funds

Starting your savings plan sooner makes it easier to keep your savings growing, reducing the risk that you may have to fund any shortfall when the school fees are due.

This is due to the benefits of compounding interest.

Compound interest is like a layer cake for your savings. You earn interest on the money you deposit, and on the interest you have already earnt – so you earn interest on interest.

An example of an account which earns compound interest is an online savings account which pays monthly interest.

If you invested $10,000 at 5%, you would earn $2,834 in compound interest after 5 years, giving you a total of $12,834. This is because every month the interest is added to your account and you’ll earn interest on the interest.

Compound interest on a $10,000 investment at 5% per year (compounding monthly)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Initial deposit

$10,000

$0

$0

$0

$0

Interest

$512

$538

$565

$594

$625

Total

$10,512

$11,049

$11,615

$12,209

$12,834

However, before you decide to put your money into any saving options you should consider your other financial obligations.

For example, you may be better off repaying your non-deductible debt such as the mortgage or car loan first, before you start saving.

Your financial planner can assist you will all of these decisions, ensuring that the future of your child’s education is off to a great start.

 

Have some questions? Want to know how it applies to you? Want a review of your personal situation? Click here to book a Free 15 Minute Discovery Session, give us a call on 1800 577 336, or email us at hello@wealtheon.com.au.

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